Ultimately, the strategy is to assume that if you lose more than four times, then the chances to win become bigger and as you add more money, you will be able to recover from your loss. Although there are many people who choose to use this strategy, the truth is, the odds are still the same 50/50 even regardless of the previous losses. Even if you lose five times in a row, the odds for your sixth bet, and even those there after, are still 50/50. This is an easy mistake made by those who are new to the trading business. For instance, if a trader started with a $10,000 balance and lost four trades of $1,000 a piece for a total of $4,000 then the traders remaining balance would be $6,000. If the trader thinks there is a higher chance of winning the fifth trade and increases the size of the position four times, enough to recover from the loss, then if the fifth trade loses the trader will be down to $2,000. A loss like this can never be recovered back to the $10,000 starting balance. Any experienced trader would never use such a risky gambling tactic, unless the traders’ goal was to lose all the money in a short period of time.
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